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Dumpy's Statistical Analysis - Detroit @ New Jersey

Detroit at New Jersey, January 31, 2006
Score: New Jersey 91, Detroit 84

Player Min. Eff. Plus-Minus
Richard Jefferson 44.4 18 +14
Jason Collins 29.7 12 +13
Vince Carter 39.7 12 +11
Nenad Krstic 38.2 20 +9
Jason Kidd 41.7 37 +6
Scott Padgett 3.5 2 -2
Antoine Wright 6.9 2 -5
Jacque Vaughn 11.2 5 -5
Clifford Robinson 24.6 5 -6

As usual, the raw stats come from www.popcornmachine.net, and may include minor errors.

For the first time in four games, Jason Collins did not lead the team in plus-minus rating. He came close, though, with a solid performance, posting his highest efficiency rating in a while.

Let’s look how the starters performed as a unit:

Unit Stint Min. Plus-Minus
Starting Five 1 (1st Quarter) 7.3 +1
2 (2nd Quarter) 5.6 +8
3 (3rd Quarter) 8.6 +4
TOTAL 21.5 +13

For a change of pace, I broke out the starting unit’s performance by each instance they played together. Previously, we’ve discussed how the starting five tends to play poorly in the third quarter; you can see the consistency in their performance yesterday.

Jacque Vaughn posted yet another negative plus-minus rating. Due to the injuries suffered recently by his teammates, Vaughn has played alongside Kidd on a more frequent basis. We’ve suspected that this combination has not been successful, especially when Jason Collins is on the court. Let’s see how Vaughn performed in those three situations in this particular game:

Vaughn Plus:

Unit Min. Vaughn's Eff. Rating Plus-Minus
Kidd and Collins 3.0 2 -5
Kidd but not Collins 2.0 0 -1
Neither Kidd nor Collins 6.2 3 +1

For one game at least, our suspicions were correct. Let’s look at the season-to-date numbers, courtesy of www.82games.com:

Vaughn Plus:

Unit Min. Off. Points Def. Points Plus-Minus
Kidd and Collins 125 213 238 -25
Kidd but not Collins 60 138 155 -17
Neither Kidd nor Collins 80 137 148 -11

I don't believe these totals include the Detroit game.

Now, on a per-48-minute basis:

Vaughn Plus:

Unit Off. Points Def. Points Plus-Minus
Kidd and Collins 81.8 91.4 -9.6
Kidd but not Collins 110.4 124.0 -13.4
Neither Kidd nor Collins 82.2 88.8 -6.6

Season-to-date, Vaughn has done best when he is on the floor without Kidd or Collins. So much for the "defensive unit" that Coach Frank likes to trot out there. You can see, though, the effect that Collins has. When he sits, but Vaughn plays with Kidd, the offense takes off but the team can’t seem to guard a brick wall. Hopefully, Antoine Wright can step into the backup SG role, thereby relieving Vaughn of that responsibility.

Now, as promised, here are the player totals for the month of January, combined with a few more traditional stats:

NAME GP MIN PTS RBDS AST STL BLK TO A/TO PF
V. Carter 13 36.5 22.5 5.8 4.8 0.92 0.54 2.9 1.63 2.8
R. Jefferson 11 35.3 17.9 6.1 3.0 0.91 0.18 1.9 1.57 2.8
J. Kidd 14 37.6 16.2 7.6 8.1 1.79 0.57 2.6 3.08 2.1
N. Krstic 14 29.9 13.2 5.5 0.7 0.50 0.29 1.4 0.50 3.8
C. Robinson 14 21.8 7.4 3.7 1.0 0.57 0.21 0.7 1.40 1.9
J. Vaughn 14 23.9 5.8 2.1 2.6 1.86 0.00 1.0 2.57 2.4
M. Jackson 9 10.0 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.22 0.11 0.7 0.50 1.8
L. Murray 9 12.3 3.9 2.9 0.4 0.33 0.22 0.3 1.33 1.4
L. Johnson 2 7.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 1.00 0.00 1.0 0.50 0.5
S. Padgett 12 12.9 3.3 2.8 0.4 0.67 0.17 0.3 1.25 1.4
J. Collins 13 26.6 2.8 4.1 0.8 0.92 0.54 0.8 1.00 3.1
Z. Planinic 7 13.7 2.6 0.9 0.7 0.43 0.00 0.9 0.83 2.6
J. McInnis 4 7.3 2.0 0.8 1.0 0.00 0.25 1.0 1.00 0.5
A. Wright 9 8.2 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.11 0.00 0.7 0.67 0.8
TOTALS 14 --- 91.8 39.8 21.9 8.50 2.64 13.0 1.68 23.2
OPPONENTS 43 --- 94.8 41.0 20.1 7.37 4.23 13.9 1.45 23.9

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NAME FG% 3P% FT% PPS eFG% EFF +/- EFF/48 +/-/48
V. Carter 41.4 28.9 76.8 1.17 .440 242 -7 24.5 -0.7
R. Jefferson 42.9 15.8 75.9 1.32 .440 182 +16 22.5 2.0
J. Kidd 41.8 39.0 82.0 1.23 .505 328 -33 29.9 -3.0
N. Krstic 52.4 .000 73.3 1.28 .524 183 -19 21.0 -2.2
C. Robinson 46.6 48.3 57.1 1.18 .545 117 -13 18.4 -2.0
J. Vaughn 39.7 .000 71.9 1.11 .397 104 -71 14.9 -10.2
M. Jackson 55.2 .000 90.9 1.45 .552 44 +0 23.5 0.0
L. Murray 40.6 43.8 50.0 1.09 .516 47 -46 20.4 -19.9
L. Johnson 60.0 .000 25.0 1.40 .600 5 -3 17.1 -10.3
S. Padgett 27.3 26.9 88.9 0.89 .352 51 -18 15.8 -5.6
J. Collins 38.3 .000 33.3 0.79 .383 77 -6 10.7 -0.8
Z. Planinic 27.3 .000 85.7 0.82 .273 9 +7 4.5 3.5
J. McInnis 40.0 .000 .000 0.80 .400 6 -7 9.9 -11.5
A. Wright 37.5 .000 50.0 0.81 .375 11 -18 7.2 -11.7
TOTALS 42.8 33.2 75.2 1.18 .463

Looking at the plus-minus ratings for the month, we wonder whether Coach Frank is playing the right reserves: The two top bench players for the month in terms of plus-minus were Zoran Planinic and Marc Jackson. Of course, when most of their playing time comes during garbage minutes, those numbers must be taken with a grain of salt. Still, though, we look at the numbers posted by Jacque Vaughn, Lamond Murray, and Jeff McInnis, and wonder how much worse things would be if Jackson and Planinic received more of an opportunity.

Until next time,

-Dumpy