http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/st ... ons/090227So I read it. There are no surprises here. The economy is going to affect all professional and college sports (those suites at arenas and stadiums help fund the programs). Moreover, a lengthy recession (or worse) plus a restructuring of wealth in this country (it's coming) will change the dynamics of ownership. Owners were content with losses--and most NBA teams lost money LAST year--because there was always some other rich guy who would buy your team down the road at a tidy profit for you. A Ponzi scheme of sorts. Well, you can forget that.
So who loses? The players lose big time. The NBA contract has long been the best player contract in professional sports because contracts are guaranteed. Stephon Marbury was paid $21 million for not playing! Jamal Tinsley was paid $7 million and is owed another $15 million and there are no prospects for him to play! What isn't part of Simmons is this: in an economy with more than 10% unemployed and the other 90% living in fear of joining them, there will be no support, no constituency for guys demanding more millions to bounce a ball. A long lockout will lead to an even longer period of disillusion than the one ten years ago. (Remember the star who helped save the league after the lockout? the star who the LEAGUE cast as the next Michael Jordan? He IS Vince Carter.)
Teams will move. If by Sunday, the kings cant reach a deal with Sacramento on a new arena, they may file papers for a move to either San Jose or Anaheim (I wonder how the Warriors, Laker and Clippers are going to react to another competitor within an hours drive. Not well, I suspect.)
As for the Nets, it all depends on when Ratner can move ahead. If he breaks ground, and can get financing--he is confident he can--then the Nets will play in Brooklyn. The delay could even work in his favor, in a pollyannish sort of way. The deep dive in construction costs across the board, the toning down of the project's most outrageous aspects--all that curving glass, the desire by city officials to push big projects...could help him. If he can't, then he will be looking to sell. He has to. Who buys? Who knows? Would it be a fire sale? Probably. Before then, you would see the team start selling high priced assets (He IS Vince Carter) and worse.
But bottom line, I think you should care less about how this is going to affect your favorite team and worry more about how this is going to affect your favorite family. There isn't a Net player or owner who is in danger of going broke.