FanPost

Understanding the NBA Draft Lottery --- Gerald Wallace Trade

There seems to be a lot of confusion on the NBA lottery so I've attached Wikipedia table below. The Seeding order is based on Worst Record to Best Record.

As it currently stands for example the Nets are seeded 6 or so. Let's assume we end the season seeded 6-8 (in the lottery not the playoffs --- e.g. we have the 6-8th worst records).

So let's go through it simply:

6th worst record:

Pick 1-3 = 21.5%
Otherwise picks 6-8

7th worst record:

Pick 1-3 = 15%
Otherwise picks 7-9

8th worst record:

Pick 1-3 = 10%
Otherwise picks 8-10

Seed Chances 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
1 250 .250 .215 .178 .357
2 199 .199 .188 .171 .319 .123
3 156 .156 .157 .156 .226 .265 .040
4 119 .119 .126 .133 .099 .351 .160 .012
5 88 .088 .097 .107 .261 .360 .084 .004
6 63 .063 .071 .081 .439 .305 .040 .001
7 43 .043 .049 .058 .599 .232 .018 .000
8 28 .028 .033 .039 .724 .168 .008 .000
9 17 .017 .020 .024 .813 .122 .004 .000
10 11 .011 .013 .016 .870 .089 .002 .000
11 8 .008 .009 .012 .907 .063 .001 .000
12 7 .007 .008 .010 .935 .039 .000
13 6 .006 .007 .009 .960 .018
14 5 .005 .006 .007 .982

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