Nets realistic playoff chances
by NYScratches on Feb 21, 2012 2:11 PM EST
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PrintLooking at the schedule, its pretty interesting. March has some very winnable games (yes, the other teams say the same thing when they see the Nets on their schedule), with 11 out of 18 games against sub-.500 teams. So, it looks like the Nets can possibily go on a nice streak and win 12 or 13 games that month. That would put them in good shape come April, but the schedule becomes much more difficult. In Aoril, under this scenario, the Nets would need to win 10 or so games against a very strong group of teams (including Philly 3 times, Miami, NY, Boston, and LA).
So, I predict that the Nets will be very much in the playoff picture by the end of March, but will ultimately fall short during tough stretch in April. I predict a final record of 29-37 and about 3 games or so out of the playoffs.
What are everyone else's thoughts?
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I don't see it
The 8th seed will have between 30 to 36 wins when it’s all said and done this year.
We would have to go 20-12 the rest of the way to even have a shot at it, an even then we could still miss it. At this point I’d consider it a successful turnaround if we went 16-16 the rest of the way (assuming we don’t get Dwight).
I honestly think we realistically have a shot. We’ve been in a lot of games being a one-dimensional team, ie perimeter shooting. If Lopez can play like he’s used to playing and dwill playing like he is we could have a few upsets. 6.5 behind Boston for 8. Tough but far from impossible.
by PiffBreezy on Feb 21, 2012 2:38 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Anything is possible in sports
We have seen big win streaks before in every sport. The problem is with the Nets, is that we are still the same team. 2 days ago we were talking about our frustrations and how awful this team is. We beat the Knicks last night and now we’re talking about the playoffs? Lets be realistic… we will be a sub .500 team and most likely miss the playoffs. Even with Dwight we will still lose games during the second half of the season. Dwight has no chemistry with any player on our team other than playing with Deron for Team USA. He doesn’t know our playbook or any of the calls for that matter. It would be very challenging and very unlikely the Nets make the playoffs this season. Is it possible? Yes. But still very unlikely. Until we are mathematically eliminated i will continue to hope we make that miracle push to get the 8th seed but i wouldn’t bet money on it.
This is really low likelihood---
Possible, but just really unlikely. We’d have to pull a Knicks and go on an 8-game winning streak. As the above poster stated, a 20-12 is the equivalent of a top 3-4 east time in the 1st half of the season. Crazier things have happened, but just throwing it out there that it’ll be hard. Hopefully we get Dwight and make it—- that’d be sweet
The only chance is with a Dwight trade
Even then it’s unlikely. After the Lopez injury, the only playoff scenario I could envision was if the Nets could tread water winning about 35% of their games leading up until the allstar break & complete a Howard trade during the break. With Howard in the fold I believe we could make a good run at the playoffs, but we’re a few games behind that 35% winning percentage.
The post allstar schedule is far softer than the early schedule, and we have Lopez back. I believe we’ll be much improved, but barring a Howard trade, our total wins will be in the mid 20s.
Not Gonna Happen
6 of the 8 teams are locked in and virtually guaranteed to be better than the Nets. Only the 7th and 8th seeds, held by Boston and NYK, are in play. And with both of those teams likely to play at least .500 ball, the Nets would have to play at a level they are clearly not capable of sustaining. Moreover, Milwaukee and Cleveland are ahead of the Nets in the running, so the Nets will have to overcome them as well.
The only way they could pull it off is if they played at an incredibly high level (which would seem to require them to have DH) and Boston or NYK would have to utterly collapse, with Milwaukee and Cleveland not improving. Too many “what ifs.” If the Nets can play .500 ball the second half of the season, I’d be happy.
Orlando is a wildcard
They’ve probably won too many games already to miss the playoffs, but if they trade Howard, they could potentially free fall.
We don't want to make the playoffs this year.
We want to win specific games like yesterday (Knicks) and Chicago. But come April we want to be well outside of the playoff hunt.
1) We Want Orlando to have a massive brain fart and not trade DH by the deadline. This
allowing us to keep BLo, Brooks, and our picks without taking on Hedo’s crap contract.
2) We want the highest pick we can get (preferrably 1 thru 3 lotto).
3) We want to select Anthony Davis if we get 1 or Michael Kidd-Gilchrest if we get 2 or 3.
While Davis doesn’t address our immediate need he’s got too high of a ceiling for us to
pass on.
4) With a stacked roster we then want to go after a small forward in Free Agency.
4 on 5....
We play 4 on 5 most nights, sometimes 2 on 5 at the offensive end. We are not going to even smell the playoffs. I would be happy if we win a few more games like the ones against the Bulls and Knicks in the last week.
Paul from Sunny Delray Beach, Florida
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