THE 2011 New Jersey Nets NBA Draft analysis

A HUGE part of the Nets future, gigantic to their development, is the NBA draft, especially this one.  So we as good fans need to know EXACTLY what is going on with this draft.

First off, this draft has six, by my count, legit NBA guys who can start right away.  After that you get role players who may never be starters.  So it is therefore ESSENTIAL that the Nets get one of these guys.  Hey Billy King, do WHATEVER it takes to land one of these six.  Well, maybe not whatever, but whatever you can reasonably do.   These guys are, in order of my personal ranking, Kyrie Irving, Perry Jones, Terrence Jones, Jared Sullinger, Enes Kanter, Harrison Barnes.

IMO, the Nets need Irving, Jones, or Barnes, in that order.  While I like Harris as a player, and I don't by any means think PG is our most pressing need, Irving is the type of guy you build a franchise around.  I really think he's that type of player.  He's a Chris Paul type guy with great vision and passing ability, and scoring ability.  He's really just a great overall player.  And before you say, ahh paul is such an unreasonable comp, well, yeah, it probably is, but there is basis to it.  Here are Paul's stats from his two years at Wake Forest.

Here are Paul's freshman stats: 15.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 6.6 APG, 2.4 SPG, 45 % FG, 47 3%, 83 FT%

Sophomore: 15 PPG, 6 APG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 SPG, 50 FG%, 47 3%, 84 FT%

Here are Irving's stats at Duke.  It's a small sample size I know. 

29 MPG, 17.5 PPG, 4 REBS, 5.1 AST, 1.5 STL, .532 FG%, 90% FT%, 45 3P%

Using Paul's career stats (I think that's fair cuz he got minutes both years), Irving is a real comparison.  Irving may never have Paul's quickness or shooting touch, but he's got those intangibles and passing ability that Paul has.  His shooting percentages are truly staggering, suggesting an unselfish player.  Doesn't take many shots.  Irving beats him in all the percentages except 3, rebounds at the same rate, and scores more.  It is also reasonable to assume he would have gotten more comfortable in the offense as time went by.  He also is a tough competitor.  Biggest game of the year at the time, vs. Michigan State, he goes 8-12 from the field, 13-16 from the line, and 2-3 from 3 for a 31 point outburst.  Impressive. 

Terrence Jones would be pretty awesome as well.  He really reminds me of a quicker and smaller Lamar Odom, has a similarly average stroke from deep, but an amazing motor and driving ability, a do-it-all type guy.  Rebounds with incredible energy and has the stats to show for it.  He could easily be the best player in the country right now.  

Barnes has great NBA potential despite his struggles.  Kanter and Sullinger are great post scorers, and I especially love Sully because of his passing and scoring ability out of the post, but neither are really a need.  I don't love Perry Jones, too raw for the Nets and I prefer Irving.  The best options outside this top six are IMO Kemba Walker and Derrick Williams, who I guess I could live with but would rather not face that situation.

So to sum up the Nets first pick: Irving or T. Jones PLEASE, P. Jones and Barnes work too, and if not them, Sully or Kanter.

Now for another important part of the draft, the later part.  The Nets have two more picks, the Lakers and the Nets own second, which should both fall between 25-40.  

First of all, I would like to see King package the picks and some $ and move up.  The guys I would target to move up for are Fredette, Singler, Hamilton. These Three are NBA ready three-point shooters, great scorers that we could use. 

Now, assuming we stay where we are, Hamilton and Singler will likely be gone.  (Tear, I really want Hamilton, who IMO is being greatly underrated in draft rankings) So, in that case, I think we go with Jimmer with the Laker pick.  He's got a truly amazing shot and what looks like a great attitude.  A guy that could come off the bench and play either the 1 or the 2 (i know, he's small, but Devo can do it).  Kawhi Leonard is also a good option, a 6-7 wing from San Diego State (who, btw, is having an astounding season.)  He is a great, great rebounder for a wing, doesn't shoot that well, great attitude, plays hard, plays good D.  He can guard 2 or 3, and that would be welcome on a guy who can ACTUALLY SCORE, something outlaw and graham so conspicuously lack.  Tobias Harris and Kris Joseph are both small forwards putting up numbers in tough conferences, and while both have flaws, they wouldn't be bad here either.  The Morris twins from Kansas wouldn't be a bad second rounder.  

So, IMO, our ideal draft is Kyrie Irving, Jimmer Fredette, and Kawhi Leonard, or Irving and Jordan Hamilton (who I kinda love, look at his stats and watch him play once).  What's your ideal draft and your thoughts on all this? And for the record I always root for the Nets to win, I have come to terms however with the fact that we will likely be in the top six this draft, and I like it.  We are in a no-lose situation in that if we win, our young guys develop, if we lose, we get better new young guys.  





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