I feel like these boards have been filled with short-sighted fans as the NBA landscape will most certainly change after the impending lockout and the new CBA. While it is impossible to guess exactly how this will change the nature of building a championship team it is still fun to speculate. I have long held the belief that acquiring and accumulating assets moving into the 2011 season is the way to go – and it seems like the Nets have done just that.
If I had to guess I would think that the new CBA will include lower max salaries, less years and a higher tax on teams that exceed the salary cap. The biggest change that has been discussed in these forums is restricted free agency. While I wonder if the 2011 free agent class, including Carmelo, could be slapped with a franchise tag I am more concerned about the 2012 class. If there is a restricted free agency period you can be assured that Dwight Howard, Deron Williams and to a lesser degree Chris Paul will not become free agents as expected in the 2012 offseason. I wonder how the rules will change with international draft picks who have a distinct advantage over prospect born in the states who attend American Universities. As it currently stands Rubio would not be bound by the rookie salary cap in 2012 although Minnesota would still hold his rights. This would increase his negotiating power in demanding a trade, especially since he would become an honest-to-goodness free agent in 2014. I also wonder how the contracts for second-rounders may change.
Now let’s look at how this may pertain to the Nets. In the 2011 draft, which will take place before the lockout, how do you rate the international crop? This is by all accounts looking to be a good international group. Do the Nets looks to draft and stash to continue to accumulate talent with more control? How about salary cap space? I would think that there will be teams willing to unload expensive talent in order to ensure that they stay under the cap. The Nets could making a killing picking up overpriced veterans on the cheap in trades, but will be less likely to do so in free agency.
Still the MAJOR problem will be. How do the Nets acquire a star? Will the league be as star driven? I would think that team will be able to retain their stars for longer using their restricted tags. I am not sure what the solution is, but am looking for some interesting discussion.