I thought this was interesting and fun to take a look at. Just a quick capsule shot at the top 5 picks for the last decade. Truth is, it's a great reminder that you just never know who is going to turn out great and who isn't. Even the consensus top guys don't turn out to be the top guys. However, what you can notice is that when teams seem to pick the "big man with a lot of potential" instead of the "we knows he's gonna be a solid player but doesn't have as much upside" they get burned A LOT more often than not. At this point, for the Nets, I see no reason why we need to take such a huge risk on a project player like Favors or even Cousins. Both of these guys have huge question marks and let's be honest here...there's a very legit chance that either or both of these guys turn out to suck (see Swift, Fizer, Ty Thomas below for examples and there are a lot more). It's just as likely Favors is another Marcus Fizer than he is a stud. I say we play it safe and either trade down or take Turner is he's there or Wesley Johnson. With Turner or Johnson we know we're getting, at the minimum, a solid rotation player who can contribute immediately...and both guys have the potential to be very very good NBA players. There's no reason to take a huge risk right now...and especially not at power forward when there's a ton (Amare, Bosh, Boozer, Lee, Dirk, Scola just to name a few) of power forwards available. There's more pf than anything in free agency and there's no reason to have one of those guys and Lopez and then draft a pf who is a huge risk and then have them not play a lot when we could use some players at other positions (especially a good shooter and defender like Wes Johnson). Thoughts?
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